Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 49.65% to be Israel’s next PM after election
Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers is set to endorse Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley in the state’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, weeks after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quit amid a finance scandal. (Read More)
Polymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike drop to 58.5% after AI inflation talk
Minutes from the Fed’s June meeting cited tariffs and “AI-related price pressures” as drivers of higher core goods inflation, with energy and AI infrastructure demand adding to costs. (Read More)
Polymarket: Hormuz normal-by-Jul15 odds at 0.35% as No hits 99.65%
A report says US-Iran tensions spiked during a 60-day negotiation window, with attacks linked to Strait of Hormuz shipping even as officials signal talks may continue. (Read More)
Kyiv leadership buzz lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by end-2026 to 11.5%
A Ukrainska Pravda investigation said ex-commander Valerii Zaluzhny told President Volodymyr Zelensky he would run if an autumn election were held, though details were unverified and wartime voting (Read More)
IBM touts $4.5B AI savings as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 83.5%
Over the past three years, IBM said its “client zero” AI-and-automation program cut $4.5 billion in spending by applying the tools to its own operations. (Read More)
Polymarket Allegedly Paid Adin Ross Millions to Promote It as Insider-Trading Scrutiny Builds
A Wall Street Journal investigation reports that Polymarket struck a multimillion-dollar deal with streamer Adin Ross and promoted dozens of his videos – at least five of which laid out ways to trade on inside information. A celebrity deal under scrutiny…
Prediction Market Kalshi Eyes IPO as Revenue Hits $2 Billion
Bitcoin Magazine Prediction Market Kalshi Eyes IPO as Revenue Hits $2 Billion Kalshi, the prediction markets platform that has become the dominant force in U.S. event contracts, is in informal talks with investment banks about a potential initial public…
CFTC sues New Mexico in latest bid to assert authority over sports betting markets
New Mexico is the next state in the CFTC's crosshairs as the fight continues over regulatory jurisdiction over sports betting.
CFTC Proposes New Rules for Sports Prediction Markets
The CFTC’s proposal could legitimize sports prediction markets while clarifying election contract regulations. Public comments open for 90 days. (Read More)
Wintermute extends trading infrastructure into prediction markets
Wintermute extends trading infrastructure into prediction markets as multibillion-dollar sector draws institutional liquidity providers.