Polymarket prices Eizenkot at 49.65% to be Israel’s next PM after election
Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers is set to endorse Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley in the state’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, weeks after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez quit amid a finance scandal. (Read More)
Polymarket: Hormuz normal-by-Jul15 odds at 0.35% as No hits 99.65%
A report says US-Iran tensions spiked during a 60-day negotiation window, with attacks linked to Strait of Hormuz shipping even as officials signal talks may continue. (Read More)
Kyiv leadership buzz lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit by end-2026 to 11.5%
A Ukrainska Pravda investigation said ex-commander Valerii Zaluzhny told President Volodymyr Zelensky he would run if an autumn election were held, though details were unverified and wartime voting (Read More)
Murphy pushes $25 minimum wage as Polymarket prices Vance at 19% for 2028
On Sunday, Sen. Chris Murphy said a $25 federal minimum wage could help Democrats win back working-class voters, backing his Living Wage for All Act to phase it in over years. (Read More)
US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds down to 5%
After a drone attack on a cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Central Command released video it said showed strikes on Iranian missile, drone, and coastal radar sites. (Read More)
Hormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%
A maritime agency said a vessel was hit by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring ongoing security risks in the vital shipping corridor. (Read More)
Meta Prediction Market App Push Puts Polymarket Model In Big Tech Spotlight
TL;DR Meta is reportedly building a standalone prediction market app internally called Arena. The product is expected to start with points rather than real-money wagering. The move pushes the prediction-market model further into mainstream tech, even as…
IBM touts $4.5B AI savings as Polymarket keeps Anthropic at 83.5%
Over the past three years, IBM said its “client zero” AI-and-automation program cut $4.5 billion in spending by applying the tools to its own operations. (Read More)
Trump comments fuel dispute over Polymarket's $120 million 'permanent' Iran peace deal market
Polymarket traders clash over whether a US-Iran memorandum qualifies as a permanent peace deal.
CFTC Proposes New Rules for Sports Prediction Markets
The CFTC’s proposal could legitimize sports prediction markets while clarifying election contract regulations. Public comments open for 90 days. (Read More)