CLARITY Act Faces Sub-50% Odds as Senate Clock Ticks Toward August
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July 1, 2026
Jefferies analyst Andrew Moss and his team warned Monday that the CLARITY Act, the defining crypto regulation bill of this Congress, faces a compressing Senate window, with Polymarket odds of passage by end-2026 now sitting at 48%, down from 70% in…
Bernstein says prediction-market infrastructure rush could spark wave of M&A across consumer platforms
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June 29, 2026
Bernstein said DraftKings' DKeX launch keeps prediction-market revenue in-house as consolidation reshapes trading and betting platforms.
Charles Schwab is working with Cboe to launch S&P 500 'yes-or-no' binary options contracts: WSJ
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June 20, 2026
The binary contracts would mark the brokerage's first move into prediction-market-style products, a sector that Kalshi and Polymarket already dominate.
Trump comments fuel dispute over Polymarket's $120 million 'permanent' Iran peace deal market
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June 17, 2026
Polymarket traders clash over whether a US-Iran memorandum qualifies as a permanent peace deal.